Ontarians on the Move, 2021 Edition #18 — Ontario’s pre-pandemic housing shortage was a uniquely Ontario problem.

  1. The data is from 2016, not 2011.
  2. The census data has separate categories for 65–74, 75–84, and 85+ year olds, whereas the CMHC lumps them together into a single 65+ category.
Source: Census 2016.
Sources: Census 2016 and Statistics Canada.
  1. The estimated percentage growth in the number of households between 2016 and 2020 was almost identical in British Columbia, Ontario, and Alberta, which were the 2nd to 4th fastest growing provinces by this metric.
  2. PEI! WOW!
  3. Almost no growth in the number of households in Newfoundland. Effect of the oil price crash of 2015, perhaps?
Sources: Census 2016, Statistics Canada, and Statistics Canada.
  1. British Columbia built more than one new unit per net new household. Perhaps catching up for past underbuilding? Worth investigating in a future piece.
  2. Unlike Alberta and British Columbia, PEI shares Ontario’s challenges with homebuilding not being able to keep up with population growth.
  3. Newfoundland and Labrador, on the other hand, completed many new homes despite almost no growth in the number of households. Looks like they were anticipating demand that never materialized, which would support the “oil price crash of 2015 wrecked everything” thesis.
Source: Census 2016 and Number of Households by Household Type: 1976–2036.



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Mike Moffatt

Mike Moffatt

Senior Director, Smart Prosperity. Assistant Prof, Ivey Business School. Exhausted but happy Dad of 2 wonderful kids with autism. I used to do other stuff.