Ontarians on the Move, 2021 Edition. #1 -The Big Picture

  1. “Natural” increases — the difference between the number of people born and the number of people who die in the year.
  2. Net international immigration — the difference between the number of people who immigrate to Ontario from other countries vs. the number of Ontarians who emigrate from other countries.
  3. Net “non-permanent residents” — the change in the size of the population of international non-permanent residents. These could be foreign students attending school, individuals on work visas, temporary foreign workers, etc.
  4. Net interprovincial migrants — the number of people who move to Ontario from other provinces vs. the number of people who move from Ontario to other provinces.
  5. Net intraprovincial migrants — the net number of people who move from one community in Ontario to another community in Ontario. For the province as a whole, this number has to be zero. For any specific community in the province, the number could be positive (suggesting they’re, on net, gaining people from other Ontario communities) or negative (suggesting they’re on net losing people to the rest of the province).

“Natural” Population Increases in Ontario

Now THAT’s a trend.

Net Immigration Population Increases in Ontario

Net Non-Permanent Resident Population Increases in Ontario

Net Interprovincial Migration Population Increases in Ontario

So what have we learned… and what’s next?

  1. A substantial jump in the number of net non-permanent residents.
  2. A less sizable, though real, increase in the number of net international immigrants.
  3. The oil price collapse, which caused Ontario from losing people (on net) to other provinces to gaining them.

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Senior Director, Smart Prosperity. Assistant Prof, Ivey Business School. Exhausted but happy Dad of 2 wonderful kids with autism. I used to do other stuff.

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Mike Moffatt

Mike Moffatt

Senior Director, Smart Prosperity. Assistant Prof, Ivey Business School. Exhausted but happy Dad of 2 wonderful kids with autism. I used to do other stuff.

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